With another presidential election coming up this fall, Barack Obama is almost certainly the Democratic party nominee. The big question is who will win the Republican nomination? Right now, there are four serious contenders: Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul. Of these four, only Gingrich and Romney are real front-runners. Romney started out doing well in the primaries, but Gingrich has recently overtaken him in the winnings and in the polls. Will the ultimate victor in the Republican primaries have an impact on President Obama's chances for re-election, or is he in a good position to walk right back into office for another term?
Right now, according to the polls, more people would vote for Obama than Gingrich if the election were held today. This means that if Gingrich wins the nomination of his party, Obama's chances of being re-elected to the presidency are pretty high. Obama's chances of winning re-election are still pretty high even if Romney wins the nomination, though not as high as they would be if Gingrich gets it. Current polls show 39% of voters would vote for Gingrich over Obama....still giving Obama a clear victory....while 44% of voters would choose Romney over Obama. Either scenario shows Obama to be the candidate to beat. At least, this is the case for now. It is still very early in the election season and anything can happen between now and the actual voting for president. The whims and wants of the people turn on a dime, and any major world event or political occurence that happens between now and then can have an impact on who the public ultimately chooses as their leader.
Naturally, Democrats are going to want Newt Gingrich to win the Republican nomination with numbers like these, but they still won't be disappointed if Romney wins it. Despite the many complaints heard about President Obama throughout his presidency so far, it seems the public still trusts him more than they trust the Republican candidates. There is good reason for this. President Obama has a solid track record of doing things to improve the economy, providing health insurance for the uninsured, and taking leadership in military affairs to score big victories for the American public, among other things. He has shown that he is willing to follow through on his promises when not impeded by Congress from doing so. Plus, the public seems to be distrustful of millionaire Republican candidates who have done nothing but try to impede progress for improving the economy for the lower and middle income families of the nation and who have stated publicly that they don't believe those who are struggling financially deserve help.
All of these things will bode well for President Obama in the coming election no matter which Republican candidate ultimately wins the nomination. Though far from being a perfect president, most people seem to see him as the best choice among the lot, which puts him in the strongest position for taking the White House again in November.